Sunday, March 10, 2013

A632.8.3.RB_HallMike


As I said in my discussion post, I think the Cynefin framework does come in handy in decision making, especially in my career field as a naval officer.  The nice thing about the framework is that is allows you to identify what type of situation you are in - whether it be simple, complicated, complex, or chaos – and then react appropriately.  This framework specifically helps you out in a couple of ways.  First off, it breaks down situations into 4 broad categories.  While not sounding important, being able to categorize something into only 4 different situations sure can make things easier when compared with having to categorize something into 30 different ones – 4 is just detailed enough to ensure separation between the frames.  Secondly, once you have identified what frame you are in, it provides for a common response.  Each frame has a different response that is catered to the specific frame.  There is no need to collect large amounts of data in the chaos frame as there are few trends that can be identified.  Instead, you act first and see how the system responds to get a feel for things.  Thirdly, the different frames also provide a quick summary of what you are going to have to do to solve the problem.  Are you going to have to use a procedure or are you going to have to think a solution out – each frame is different.  From the readings, it also provides for things a leader should and should not do for each situation.  For example, complacency is a problem with the simple frame due to the cookie-cutter approach to the solutions.  As a result, a good leader should be wary of a complacent team when identifying simple problems.

I can easily identify multiple examples of each framework.  I would compare the necessary thinking process for basic ship driving to the complicated frame.  In this frame, there are multiple right responses for any given situation.  With ship driving, there are often many “correct” answers to get the ship safely from one point to the next.  There are governing documents that guide how you act in general, however for the most part you are free to choose which way you want to go (within the confines of the Navigator’s track).  Within the submarine community, many JOs have a hard time removing themselves from the nuclear side of the house (which is definitely a simple frame system outside of catastrophic casualties) when they come up forward.  As a result, they tend to think in a very linear fashion like they do back aft.  What they forget is that most ship driving manuals allow the OOD the freedom to make the decision and only recommend certain maneuvers.  In fact, the manual writers did this specifically to prevent people thinking that they have to act exactly as the manual says.  As a result, when they think they have to turn, they do so in a very rigid fashion (for arguments sake we’ll say the manual says turn to place the contact 50 degrees off the bow).  The new drivers will turn and place the ship exactly 50 degrees of the bow by turning the bow through the line of site, even if it means an almost 180 turn.  I used to get in heated arguments why this shouldn’t be done with some of them, and every time the CO backed me up.  I would stress to the guys I was training that the book only recommends and gives you the freedom to operate the ship safely as you see it.  Anyways, long story short, driving the ship puts you in a pretty good situation to sense, analyze, and then respond to the situation (as opposed to trying things out first with the case of the complex frame or categorizing in the simple frame).
As I mentioned above, the nuclear side of submarining is clearly a simple frame.  Your job as the operator is to identify trends/problems and then respond in accordance with the procedure.  Any critical thinking outside of that is simply not desired.  You are to sense the problem, categorize it, and then respond properly.

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